Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.031783 0.034729 0.037697 0.040903 0.044263 0.047675 0.051396
2025-12-21 0.027409 0.031758 0.036281 0.041311 0.046727 0.052363 0.058650
2025-12-28 0.022757 0.028000 0.033629 0.040067 0.047174 0.054732 0.063330
2026-01-04 0.019705 0.025671 0.032271 0.040008 0.048735 0.058186 0.069112
2026-01-11 0.017506 0.024078 0.031550 0.040508 0.050801 0.062122 0.075383
2026-01-18 0.015423 0.022416 0.030589 0.040599 0.052303 0.065357 0.080831
2026-01-25 0.012812 0.019878 0.028404 0.039098 0.051840 0.066266 0.083577
2026-02-01 0.011042 0.018223 0.027146 0.038576 0.052419 0.068289 0.087529
2026-02-08 0.009672 0.016956 0.026262 0.038420 0.053360 0.070680 0.091864
2026-02-15 0.008965 0.016509 0.026366 0.039437 0.055679 0.074664 0.098037
2026-02-22 0.008295 0.016047 0.026401 0.040333 0.057826 0.078431 0.103951
2026-03-01 0.007510 0.015348 0.026071 0.040724 0.059322 0.081404 0.108920
2026-03-08 0.006699 0.014569 0.025623 0.040979 0.060697 0.084300 0.113899
2026-03-15 0.006207 0.014231 0.025755 0.041978 0.062999 0.088326 0.120243
2026-03-22 0.005182 0.012946 0.024489 0.041077 0.062867 0.089373 0.123016
2026-03-29 0.004571 0.012268 0.024041 0.041233 0.064056 0.092019 0.127703
2026-04-05 0.004149 0.011868 0.023967 0.041875 0.065855 0.095409 0.133290
2026-04-12 0.003655 0.011279 0.023573 0.042048 0.067029 0.098017 0.137924
2026-04-19 0.002852 0.009990 0.022034 0.040565 0.065986 0.097827 0.139120
2026-04-26 0.002352 0.009206 0.021222 0.040060 0.066200 0.099185 0.142192
2026-05-03 0.001979 0.008621 0.020685 0.039918 0.066875 0.101109 0.145951
2026-05-10 0.001840 0.008544 0.020970 0.040969 0.069152 0.105071 0.152236
2026-05-17 0.001692 0.008424 0.021173 0.041891 0.071255 0.108813 0.158254